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Connected Signals

WARN layoffs + SEC 8-K filings + bankruptcy petitions, cross-referenced daily across 6 federal datasets.

85,000+
WARN Notices
5.1M
LCA Petitions
809K
H-1B Records
--
SEC 8-K Filings
--
Bankruptcy Cases
Daily
50 State Updates

Cross-Dataset Distress Signals

WARN notice + SEC 8-K restructuring + bankruptcy petition on the same company within 90 days = confirmed distress cascade. Fuzzy name matching links filings across agencies with no common identifier.

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5 Proprietary Signal Indexes

WVI (WARN Velocity), WSI (Workforce Stress), TDI (Talent Displacement), MCS (Metro Contagion), IDI (Industry Domino) -- computed daily from 6 datasets. Scores update nightly.

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API & AI Integration

REST endpoints for risk scores, company profiles, SEC filings, and bankruptcy data. Webhook alerts on threshold crossings. MCP server for AI agent workflows.

Signal types detected

DC Distress Cascade

WARN + SEC 8-K + bankruptcy within 90 days. Full three-step confirmation. Historically precedes Chapter 11 by 30-60 days.

TD Talent Displacement

Company lays off domestic workers via WARN while filing LCA/H-1B petitions for foreign workers. Signals offshore workforce shift.

ID Industry Domino

Cascading WARN notices across the same NAICS sector in 5+ states within 60 days. Sector-level contagion confirmed by multiple SEC filings.

MC Metro Contagion

Multi-employer WARN filings clustered in the same metro area across unrelated industries. Regional economic shock indicator.

WV WARN Velocity

Filing rate accelerating above 12-month baseline. The earliest leading indicator in the pipeline -- rising velocity precedes the cascade.

Live Risk Signals

Companies with multiple converging datasets, ranked by composite score. Updated nightly.

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Scores reflect algorithmic analysis of public federal data -- not investment advice. Full methodology →

Track Company Risk Signals

Search any company for its cross-dataset risk profile -- WARN, SEC, bankruptcy, H-1B, and composite score in one view.

View Risk Signals → Get API Access
Disclaimer: WARN Firehose aggregates public data from government sources. Signal scores and cross-dataset matches are algorithmic estimates based on company name matching -- they are not verified by filing agencies and may contain errors. For informational and research purposes only. Not investment or legal advice.
Frequently asked questions

What is a corporate distress cascade?

WARN Act notice, then SEC 8-K Item 2.05 restructuring disclosure, then Chapter 11 bankruptcy -- often within 30-90 days. WARN Firehose cross-references all three daily.

What is SEC 8-K Item 2.05?

The "Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities" disclosure. Filed within 4 business days of a material restructuring plan. Confirms layoffs affect the income statement.

How far in advance does the signal appear?

WARN notices are required 60 days before layoffs. SEC 8-K follows within days to weeks. Bankruptcy arrives 30-90 days later. Full cascade gives 60-90 days of advance visibility.

Can I access this via API?

Yes. REST endpoints for risk scores, company lookup, SEC filings, and bankruptcy records. Pro/Enterprise plans include webhook alerts. API docs →